Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Elliott, Graham; Timmermann, Allan G.; Granger, C. W. J.

Elsevier Science & Technology

05/2006

1070

Dura

Inglês

9780444513953

15 a 20 dias

Covers developments in how forecasts are constructed based on multivariate time-series models, dynamic factor models, nonlinear models and combination methods. This handbook addresses economic forecasting methodology, forecasting models, forecasting with different data structures, and the applications of forecasting methods.
Part 1. Forecasting methodology. 1. Bayesian forecasting (J. Geweke, C. Whiteman). 2. Forecasting and decision theory (C.W.J.Granger, M.J. Machina). 3. Forecast evaluation (K.D. West). 4. Forecast combinations (A. Timmermann). 5. Predictive density evaluation (V. Corradi, N.R. Swanson). Part 2. Forecasting models. 6. Forecasting with VARMA models (H. Lutkepohl). 7. Forecasting with unobserved components time series models (A. Harvey). 8. Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models (T. Terasvirta). 9. Approximate nonlinear forecasting models (H. White). Part 3. Forecasting with different data structures. 10. Forecasting with many predictors (J.H. Stock, M.W. Watson). 11. Forecasting with trending data (G. Elliott). 12. Forecasting with breaks (M.P. Clements, D.F. Hendry). 13. Forecasting seasonal time series (E. Ghysels, D.R. Osborn, P.M.M. Rodrigues). 14. Survey expectations (M.H. Pesaran, M. Weale). Part 4. Applications of forecasting methods. 15.Volatility and correlation forecasting (T.G. Andersen, T. Bollerslev, P.F. Christoffersen, F.X. Diebold). 16. Leading Indicators (M. Marcellino). 17. Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data (D. Croushore). 18. Forecasting in marketing (P.H. Franses).
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